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# 64% of US adults expect AI to mean fewer jobs over the next 20 years; 39% of AI experts agree
- URL: https://aiadoption.org/data/us-adults-vs-ai-experts-ai-and-jobs-20-years/
- Published: 2026-10-19T16:56:34.000Z
- Updated: 2026-10-21T06:04:04.000Z
- Description: In Pew's 2024 surveys, 64% of US adults expected AI to lead to fewer jobs over the next 20 years and 5% to more jobs. Among AI experts, 39% expected fewer and 19% more.
- Author: Manu
- Tags: Data, Public Opinion on AI, AI in the US, #chart, #ai-index-2026, #hub-opinion, #country-us

64%

Share of US adults who expect AI to lead to fewer jobs over the next 20 years; 5% expect more jobs

US adults

Fewer jobs64%

Not much difference14%

More jobs5%

## What the chart shows

Pew Research Center asked whether AI will lead to more or fewer jobs over the next 20 years. Nearly two-thirds of US adults (64%) expected fewer jobs and only 5% more; 14% expected not much difference and 16% were not sure.

AI experts were less pessimistic: 39% expected fewer jobs, 19% more jobs and a third (33%) not much difference, while 10% were not sure. Even so, twice as many experts expected fewer jobs as expected more.

## Key numbers

| Measure                         | Value |
| ------------------------------- | ----- |
| US adults, fewer jobs           | 64%   |
| US adults, more jobs            | 5%    |
| US adults, not sure             | 16%   |
| AI experts, fewer jobs          | 39%   |
| AI experts, more jobs           | 19%   |
| AI experts, not much difference | 33%   |

## How to read it

- Pew Research Center surveyed 5,410 US adults (12–18 August 2024) and 1,013 AI experts living in the US (14 August–31 October 2024). Experts were authors or presenters at AI-related conferences in 2023 or 2024 whose work or research relates to AI.
- Rows add to 99% (adults) and 101% (experts) because of rounding.

**Source:** [Pew Research](https://aiadoption.org/sources/#pew-research-ai), 2025, via the AI Index Report 2026 (Stanford HAI), figure 9.2.4: *Views on whether AI will create or eliminate jobs: general public vs. experts*. Chart and text by AI Adoption.  
Numbers checked against the published data on 20 October 2026.  
[Download the data (CSV)](https://charts.aiadoption.org/ai-index/csv/us-adults-vs-ai-experts-ai-and-jobs-20-years.csv?ref=aiadoption.org) · [Cite this chart](#source)