25
AI models trained with more than 10²⁵ FLOP, the EU AI Act's systemic-risk threshold (18 US, 5 China)

What the chart shows

The EU AI Act presumes that a general-purpose model trained with more than 10²⁵ FLOP poses systemic risk, which brings extra duties. Epoch AI counts 25 models above that line so far: 18 from US organisations, 5 from Chinese ones and 2 from elsewhere.

The first was Gemini 1.0 Ultra (2023); 7 have been released in 2026 so far. Many of these figures are Epoch’s estimates, because developers rarely publish their training compute.

Key numbers

MeasureValue
United States18
China5
Rest of the world2
Released in 2026 so far7
First above it: Gemini 1.0 Ultra (2023)5.0×10^25

How to read it

  • Models with an Epoch AI training-compute estimate above 10²⁵ FLOP, from its large-scale models database; a model from organisations in several countries counts once for each group.
  • The EU AI Act threshold is in Article 51; the Commission can change it.
  • The current year is incomplete.
Source: Epoch AI, 2026: Data on AI models, read 3 November 2026. Chart and text by AI Adoption.
Numbers checked against the published data on 3 November 2026.
Updated 3 Nov 2026: Updated from Epoch AI's data read 2026-11-03: the key number went from 24 to 25. Every chart change →
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