29 pts
Gap between AI experts (62%) and US adults (33%) expecting AI to mean fewer truck-driver jobs over 20 years, the widest of 10 occupations
What the chart shows
Pew Research Center asked US adults and AI experts whether AI will lead to fewer jobs in 10 occupations over the next 20 years. Both groups put cashiers at the top, at 73% each, and are within two points of each other on journalists and software engineers.
Experts expect more job losses than adults for truck drivers (62% vs 33%), the widest gap, and lawyers (38% vs 23%). Adults expect more for teachers (43% vs 31%), musicians (45% vs 35%) and medical doctors (28% vs 18%).
Key numbers
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Cashiers, US adults | 73% |
| Cashiers, AI experts | 73% |
| Truck drivers, AI experts | 62% |
| Truck drivers, US adults | 33% |
| Teachers, US adults | 43% |
| Teachers, AI experts | 31% |
How to read it
- Pew Research Center surveyed 5,410 US adults (12–18 August 2024) and 1,013 AI experts living in the US (14 August–31 October 2024). Experts were authors or presenters at AI-related conferences in 2023 or 2024 whose work or research relates to AI.
- Other answers (more jobs, not much difference, not sure) are not in the data file.
Source: Pew Research, 2025, via the AI Index Report 2026 (Stanford HAI), figure 9.2.6: Views on AI–driven job loss by occupation: general public vs. experts. Chart and text by AI Adoption.
Numbers checked against the published data on 20 October 2026.
Download the data (CSV) · Cite this chart
Numbers checked against the published data on 20 October 2026.
Download the data (CSV) · Cite this chart
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